CLANCY OVERELL | Editor | CONTACT
The Liberal Party is facing even more of a backward slide at the 2025 Federal Election, according to the survey data released by an array of different opinion polls last night.
This comes as voters begin to appreciate that their choice is between an experienced Labor Government lead by Albanese, and a highly ambitious Peter Dutton who doesn’t really have any high-profile ministers willing to stand next to him.
The Prime Minister’s cruel decision to call a May 3 election means that Peter Dutton will be in the spotlight every single day for 5 weeks. This is not ideal for an Opposition leader who grown used to the media acting as his cheerleaders.
And it seems that the more that voters see of Peter Dutton, the better Labor does in the polls. This may have been part of Albanese’s plan to push out the 2025 election as late as he could – As the Liberals continue to lose the wind that was in their sails at the back end of 2024.
Both NewsPoll and YouGov show that Albanese is on the path to win one seat short of a majority, which means he could make an Independent MP the speaker of the house and form government without any deals.
The modelling shows Labor ahead in 10 crucial seats that the Liberal Party needs to win if they are going to have any chance of forming even a minority government.
Six weeks ago, the data showed that Labor was behind in these six seats. However, the Liberals appear to have collapsed in recent weeks, ever since Peter Dutton was caught pulling a runner from Cyclone Alfred.
Dutton’s now concerning lack of policies also has left voters questioning whether they want such a drastic change.
With Independent candidates like Alex Dyson and Caz Heise now looking increasingly likely to oust the safest regional MPs that the Coalition has ever had – it seems that the Liberal’s Nuclear Power plan has gone down like a lead balloon.
As Labor campaigns heavily on bread and butter issues like Medicare, Childcare and cost-of-living relief – the Liberals do not yet know if they are even going to bother trying to win back the female voters that fled from them in 2022.
The Coalition is now at breaking point, with MPs leaking against each other in efforts to shape their own post-election narratives. Right across Australia, the Liberal members who’s brains have not yet been irreversibly damaged by Sky News are starting to ask themselves if maybe their party should’ve been a bit nicer to Julie Bishop when she was still in contention as a possible leader, and if that would have helped their election chances against Albanese.
